Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 362.507064 411.233811 465.317410 530.014528 605.584483 691.399423 796.700486
2025-10-26 282.160644 344.047680 418.887795 516.897896 643.104324 801.837139 1019.271891
2025-11-02 238.357301 304.711362 389.644562 507.917629 670.890500 891.345585 1218.723163
2025-11-09 215.738276 286.742000 382.016201 521.753648 725.853855 1020.148947 1490.035724
2025-11-16 193.606241 265.586077 365.967617 519.669862 755.458347 1114.565591 1725.457376
2025-11-23 174.706917 246.215850 349.301172 513.164228 775.651098 1195.472965 1952.101837
2025-11-30 161.470326 233.284232 340.033831 515.770604 809.046241 1300.674897 2238.109535
2025-12-07 147.478639 217.627185 324.676614 506.327251 820.523407 1369.591338 2471.019432
2025-12-14 136.758646 205.862642 313.966138 502.775984 840.801374 1455.916363 2753.237661
2025-12-21 124.144710 189.936102 294.972456 482.854258 829.022857 1480.822855 2915.657876
2025-12-28 119.885119 187.035441 296.904912 499.216661 885.348888 1643.830129 3405.929528
2026-01-04 116.770753 185.680248 301.172623 520.025028 952.690814 1839.711293 4017.632537
2026-01-11 110.604727 178.811247 295.550054 522.415762 985.162408 1970.998018 4516.809393
2026-01-18 102.643156 168.241703 282.502065 509.311773 984.365174 2030.255249 4852.092532
2026-01-25 96.107420 159.657005 272.260747 500.493531 991.240550 2107.798481 5256.960914
2026-02-01 93.212717 157.318234 273.233250 514.090615 1048.572417 2314.143876 6083.995631
2026-02-08 88.548255 151.396451 266.948269 512.042858 1070.429431 2437.849122 6706.018207
2026-02-15 83.760286 144.897746 259.015065 505.649515 1081.281455 2535.558396 7278.430509
2026-02-22 80.397020 140.823692 255.446851 508.210933 1113.750843 2696.478621 8114.758907
2026-03-01 76.001006 134.485367 246.898152 498.930278 1115.923085 2775.076116 8693.180722
2026-03-08 72.546886 129.738557 241.189343 495.440056 1132.221654 2897.092809 9476.754270
2026-03-15 67.737415 122.054346 228.948257 475.859353 1104.515994 2885.527619 9744.520769
2026-03-22 66.696586 121.742719 231.917279 491.941840 1173.197475 3178.940894 11362.131244